atrettel 5 days ago

I worked at LANL until very recently, so yes, I was associated with the DOE.

I actually agree with your point that "the ability to determine novelty ... is a crapshoot". My point was that the AI system should at least try to provide some sense of how novel the content is (and what parts are more novel than others, etc.). This is important for other review processes like patent examination and is certainly very important for journal editors to determine whether a manuscript it "worthy" of publication. For these reasons, I personally have a low bar as to what qualifies as "novel" in my own reviews.

Most of my advisors in graduate school were also journal editors, and they instilled on me to focus on novelty during peer reviews because that is what they cared about most when making a decision about a manuscript. Editors focus on novelty because journal space is a scarce resource. You see the same issue in the news in general [1]. This is one of the reasons why I have a low bar to evaluate novelty, because a study can be well done and cover new ground without having an unambiguous conclusion or "story being told" (which is something editors might want).

I originally discussed this briefly in my post but edited it out immediately after posting this. I'll post it again but add more detail. I think that a lot of peer review as practiced today is theater. It doesn't really serve any purpose other than providing some semblance of oversight and review. I agree with your point about the journal/conference being the wrong place to do peer review. It is too late to change things by then. The right time is "in the lab", as you say.

I wholeheartedly agree that reproduction/replication is the standard that we should seek to achieve but rarely ever do. Perhaps the only "original" ideas that I have had in my career came from trying to replicate what other people did and finding out something during that process.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_values

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godelski 4 days ago

Nice, I never went to LANL but have a few friends in HPC over there.

You're right, it is theater. But a lot of people think it isn't...

I think it is important to be explicit in why novelty is a crapshoot.

  Novelty depends on:
    - how well you read the work
      - High level reading means you will think x is actually y
    - how well read you are
      - If you're too well read, every x is just y
      - If you're not well read, everything is novel
    - how clear the writing was
      - If it is too clear, it is obvious, therefore not novel
If any process encourages us to be less clear in writing, we should reject it. I've seen a lot of this happening more and more and it is terrible for science. You shouldn't have to mask your contributions, oversell, or mask other related works. Everything is "incremental" and all that novelty is is a measurement of the reader's ego.

What I've just seen is that the old guard lost sight of what was important: communicating. I don't think anyone is malicious here or even had bad intentions. In fact, I think everyone had and still has good intentions. But good intentions don't create good outcomes. They're slow boiled frogs boiled, with slowly increasing dependence on metrics. They can look back and say "it worked for me", blinding them to how things have changed.

  > I agree with your point about the journal/conference being the wrong place to do peer review. It is too late to change things by then. The right time is "in the lab", as you say.
I disagree a bit (again, I think you'll agree lol). You're right that some should be happening in the lab. But there is a hierarchy. The next level is outside the lab. Then outside research. Peer review is an ongoing process that never stops. To define it as 3-4 people quickly reading a paper is just laughable. They just have all incentives to reject a work. No one questions you when you reject, but they do when you accept. Acceptance rates sure don't help, and this is the weirdest metric to define "impact" by. I don't even know how one could claim that rejection rate correlates with scientific impact. Maybe only through the confounding variable of prestige and that it is what people target? But then ArXiv should have the highest impact lol.

  > Perhaps the only "original" ideas that I have had in my career came from trying to replicate what other people did and finding out something during that process.
Same! I don't think it is a coincidence either. Science requires us to be a bit antiauthoritarian. Trust, but verify is a powerful tool. We need to verify in different environments, with methods that should be similar, and all that. Finding those little holes is critical. A worst, replication makes you come up with ideas. At least if you keep asking "why did they do this?" or "why does that happen?".

I think in a process where we're pushed to quickly publish we do not take time to chase these rabbit holes. Far too often there's a wealth of information down them. But I'm definitely also biased from my poor experience in grad school lol.