Here on HN you frequently see technologists using words like savant, genius, magical, etc, to describe the current generation of AI. Now we have vibe coding, etc. To me this is just a continuation of StackOverflow copy/paste where people barely know what they are doing and just hammer the keyboard/mouse until it works. Nothing has really changed at the fundamental level.
So I find your assessment pretty accurate, if only depressing.
It is depressing but equally this presents even more opportunities for people that don't take shortcuts. I use Claude/Gemini day to day and outside of the most average and boring stuff they're not very capable. I'm glad I started my career well before these things were created.